000 AXNT20 KNHC 080547 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0605 UTC Fri Jan 08 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0530 UTC. ...GALE WARNING IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN... The METEO FRANCE forecast consists of gale-force winds, to be developing, in parts of the following areas: MADEIRA; and developing gale-force winds in parts of AGADIR. The outlook, for the 24 hour time period after the initial forecast period, consists of: the threat of North or Northeast near gale or gale in: MADEIRA. Please, refer to the following website, http://www.gmdss.org/bulletins/METAREA2.HIGH_SEAS_WARNING.2106.05 21060465121.html, for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the coastal sections of Sierra Leone near 09N13W, to 06N20W. The ITCZ continues from 06N20W to 04N18W to 05N32W, and 04N49W. Precipitation: scattered strong within 75 nm to the north of the ITCZ between 30W and 32W, and within 90 nm to the north of the ITCZ between 34W and 39W. Isolated moderate to locally strong is elsewhere, within 180 nm on either side of the rest of the monsoon trough/ITCZ, and to the south of 08N48W 11N60W. GULF OF MEXICO... A cold front passes through Florida near Tallahassee, into the east central Gulf of Mexico, to the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is from 29N southward from the cold front eastward to 80W. A cold front across the eastern Gulf of Mexico will exit the basin on Friday morning. High pressure will build in the Gulf of Mexico on Friday and Saturday. The next cold front will push off the Texas coast on Sunday night. Expect strong NW winds across the western and central Gulf of Mexico on Monday. Gale-force winds are possible near Veracruz on Monday. The front will extend from northern Florida to the Yucatan Peninsula on Tuesday. CARIBBEAN SEA... Broad upper level anticyclonic wind flow is pushing high level moisture across the Caribbean Sea. Water vapor satellite imagery, and the GFS model for 200 mb, show that a ridge extends from northern coastal sections of Venezuela, to northern sections of Colombia, to Panama, and Costa Rica. A cold front passes through Florida near Tallahassee, into the east central Gulf of Mexico, to the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is in the NW corner of the Caribbean Sea, to the NW of the line that runs from 80W in Cuba to E Honduras/NE Nicaragua. The monsoon trough extends from northern Colombia near 11N73W, across southern sections of Panama, and into the eastern Pacific Ocean. Precipitation: isolated moderate is from 13N southward from 70W westward. Broken to overcast low level and middle level clouds and possible rainshowers span the rest of the Caribbean Sea, moving with the surface-to-low level wind flow, away from the area of the monsoon trough precipitation. A cold front will reach the Yucatan Channel late tonight, then stall and weaken across the NW Caribbean Sea through Saturday. Fresh trade winds will prevail across the basin on Saturday through Tuesday. Nightly pulses of strong winds are expected off the Colombia coast, with near gale-force winds on Monday night. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A central Atlantic Ocean dissipating stationary front is along 31N46W, to 28N50W, 23N63W. Precipitation: rainshowers are possible, in broken to overcast multilayered clouds, within 135 nm on either side of the dissipating stationary front. Surface low pressure and cyclonic wind flow cover the Atlantic Ocean from 20N northward from 25W eastward. A 1000 mb low pressure center is near 32N12W. Precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is from 30N northward from 15W eastward. A 1021 mb high pressure center is near 27N70W. Broad surface anticyclonic wind flow covers the Atlantic Ocean from 20N northward between the dissipating stationary front and the U.S.A. east coast. A 1022 mb high pressure center is near 25N42W. Broad surface anticyclonic wind flow covers the Atlantic Ocean, from 10N northward between the 1000 mb low pressure center that is near 32N12W, and the dissipating stationary front. A cold front will move off the Florida coast on Friday morning. The cold front will extend from 31N72W across the Bahamas to central Cuba by Friday night, and from 28N65W to the Windward Passage on Saturday night. Strong winds and large seas are expected on both sides of the front N of 26N through Saturday night. Another cold front will move east of northern Florida on Tuesday night. $$ mt/dm