000
AXNT20 KNHC 031746
TWDAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION                                    
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                         
205 PM EDT WED JUN 03 2015

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL  
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF 
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE 
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE 
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL 
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1715 UTC.
 
...TROPICAL WAVES...

ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 22W FROM 12N-4N MOVING 
WESTWARD 15 KT. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 7N-9N BETWEEN 
23W-26W.

ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 53W FROM 10N-3N MOVING W  
10 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE WITH THE WAVE.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...
                                        
THE MONSOON TROUGH FROM THE COAST OF AFRICA NEAR 9N13W TO 8N20W. 
THE ITCZ IS FROM 8N23W TO 5N35W TO 2N45W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 4N-10N BETWEEN 15W-20W.

...DISCUSSION...

...THE GULF OF MEXICO...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FROM THE SE U.S. THROUGH THE 
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND INTO THE EASTERN GULF 
OF MEXICO...TO THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO. STRONG DRIER AIR 
WITH SUBSIDENCE IS APPARENT IN WATER VAPOR SATELLITE NEARLY 
EVERYWHERE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO...EXCEPT IN THE STRAITS OF 
FLORIDA AND IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. A 
WEAK SURFACE PRES PATTERN ACROSS THE GULF WITH VERY LIGHT WINDS 
AND LOW SEAS.

...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...

NW UPPER LEVEL WINDS 40-50 KT ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN OTHERWISE 
UPPER LEVEL W-NW WINDS 20-25 KT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE 
AREA. AT THE SURFACE AND TROUGH EXTENDS FROM WESTERN CUBA TO A 
1010 MB LOW PRES NEAR 20N84W TO THE N COAST OF HONDURAS. THE 
TROUGH IS ASSOCIATED WITH WHAT WAS THE NORTHERN PART OF THE 
TROPICAL WAVE THAT WAS MOVING THROUGH THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA 
DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS. THE REST OF THE TROPICAL WAVE HAS BEEN 
MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL AMERICA. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS 
AND TSTMS ARE FROM 16N-22N BETWEEN 78W-82W.

...HISPANIOLA...

MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW IS MOVING 
ACROSS HISPANIOLA. SCATTERED CUMULUS CLOUDS ARE BUILDING ACROSS 
THE AREA AND SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW 
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN THU.
  
...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...

UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 32N70W TO HISPANIOLA. SCATTERED 
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE S OF 32N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W. 
THIS AREA WILL SLOWLY MOVE E THU. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS 
FROM A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTERED NEAR 28N61W TO 15N55W. A 
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 25N60W TO 18N63W. SCATTERED SHOWERS 
AND TSTMS ARE FROM 18N-17N BETWEEN 53W-60W. DOWNSTREAM UPPER 
LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 32N50W TO 23N48W. AN UPPER LEVEL 
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED JUST OFF THE AFRICAN 
COAST NEAR 11N22W.

SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA N OF 11N BETWEEN 
AFRICA AND 65W. A 1020 MB HIGH PRES CENTER IS JUST N OF THE 
AREA NEAR 34N43W. 
 
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

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MT