000 AXNT20 KNHC 070525 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 105 AM EST SAT FEB 07 2015 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0515 UTC. ...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS AFRICA INTO THE E TROPICAL ATLC NEAR 9N13W TO 3N20W WHERE THE ITCZ BEGINS AND CONTINUES TO 0N31W TO 2S44W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF THE COAST OF LIBERIA FROM 2N-4N BETWEEN 7W-10W. ...DISCUSSION... GULF OF MEXICO... A 1029 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OFF THE COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA NEAR 33N77W. THE ENTIRE GULF OF MEXICO HAS 10-15 KT NE SURFACE WINDS WITH STRONGEST WINDS OVER THE SE GULF. RESIDUAL BROKEN COLD AIR STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS ARE OVER THE GULF. RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA E OF 83W. THE REMAINDER OF GULF IS VOID OF PRECIPITATION. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...MOSTLY ZONAL FLOW IS OVER THE GULF WITH SOME SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS OVER THE W GULF W OF 90W. STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS OVER THE E GULF. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE SURFACE WINDS TO VEER TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST WITH HIGH PRESSURE RETURN FLOW. THIS WILL BRING ABOUT A WARMING TREND WITH NEXT TO NO PRECIPITATION. CARIBBEAN SEA... THE TAIL END OF A DISSIPATING QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM E CUBA AT 21N77W TO THE COAST OF NE HONDURAS AT 16N85W. 20 KT NORTHERLY WINDS ARE N OF THE FRONT. THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN HAS 10-20 KT TRADEWINDS WITH STRONGEST WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF N COLOMBIA. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE GULF OF HONDURAS...HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...AND BELIZE. MORE RESIDUAL SHOWERS ARE OVER PANAMA AND COSTA RICA. FURTHER E...SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...ZONAL FLOW WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS OVER THE CARIBBEAN. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE FRONT TO FULLY DISSIPATE...HOWEVER RESIDUAL SHOWERS MAY REMAIN OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN. ...HISPANIOLA... THE PROXIMITY OF THE COLD FRONT OVER E CUBA AND HISPANIOLA CONTINUES TO ENHANCE THE MOISTURE CONTENT SUPPORTING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE FRONT DISSIPATES. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A 1029 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OFF THE COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA NEAR 33N77W. A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC FROM 32N58W TO 26N64W TO E CUBA AT 21N77W. 20-25 KT NORTHERLY WINDS ARE W OF FRONT WITH BROKEN COLD AIR STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 180 NM E OF FRONT. A 1021 MB HIGH IS FURTHER E NEAR 29N47W. A 1009 MB LOW IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR 32N35W. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS S FROM THE LOW ALONG 31N31W 27N29W 22N34W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS E OF THE FRONT FROM 25N-31N BETWEEN 25W-28W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC W OF 60W SUPPORTING THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC COLD FRONT. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 30N33W SUPPORTING THE E ATLANTIC COLD FRONT. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR BOTH FRONTS TO MOVE E WITH CONVECTION. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORMOSA