000 AXNT20 KNHC 070005 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 705 PM EST SAT DEC 06 2014 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2315 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... ...GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR THE ATLANTIC OCEAN... A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ALONG 60W FROM 13N TO BEYOND 31N. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 32N57W...TO A 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 26N60W...TO 14N63W. N OF 27N E OF 40W E WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. N OF 25N BETWEEN 50W AND 55W SE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS ABOUT.. THE METEO FRANCE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS CONSISTS OF THE THREAT OF EAST OR NORTHEAST NEAR GALE-FORCE WIND OR GALE-FORCE WIND IN THE AREAS OF IRVING...METEOR...AND CAPE VERDE. PLEASE REFER TO THE METEO-FRANCE HIGH SEAS FORECAST THAT IS LISTED UNDER GRAND LARGE METAREA II. THE WEBSITE ADDRESS IS WWW.METEO.FR. ...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL SECTIONS OF SIERRA LEONE NEAR 11N15W TO 8N21W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 8N21W TO 3N30W 2N34W AND 2N40W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG FROM 10N SOUTHWARD FROM 37W EASTWARD. ...DISCUSSION... ...THE GULF OF MEXICO... A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL INLAND TROUGH...IN THE U.S.A... SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT THAT IS IN THE FAR NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE FRONT IS MARKED BY A ROPE CLOUD IN EARLIER VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS APPARENT. SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW LEVEL AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS ARE FROM 28N SOUTHWARD FROM 90W EASTWARD...AND WITHIN 90 NM OF THE COASTS OF THE U.S.A. AND MEXICO FROM 30N92W TO 18N95W. ...THE CARIBBEAN SEA... MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW COVERS MUCH OF THE AREA. THIS WIND FLOW EVENTUALLY FEEDS INTO THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT REACHES THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...FROM THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC TROUGH. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL IN INCHES FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT 06/1200 UTC...ACCORDING TO THE PAN AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION TABLES...MIATPTPAN/SXCA01 KNHC...IS 0.17 IN GUADELOUPE. THE MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 8N73W IN COLOMBIA...TO 9N79W IN PANAMA...BEYOND 8N84W IN SOUTHERN COSTA RICA...INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATE STRONG FROM 14N SOUTHWARD BETWEEN 77W AND 84W. ...HISPANIOLA... MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL NORTHWEST WIND FLOW IS MOVING ACROSS HISPANIOLA. THE WIND FLOW IS FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN SOUTHEASTWARD...TO THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN TROUGH. CLOUD CONDITIONS AND PREVAILING WEATHER...FOR HAITI...FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS FOR PORT-AU-PRINCE. FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... FEW CUMULONIMBUS CLOUDS AND SCATTERED LOW LEVEL AND MIDDLE LEVEL CLOUDS. SCATTERED LOW LEVEL ARE IN SANTIAGO. FEW LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE IN PUNTA CANA. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 250 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHWEST WIND FLOW WILL CROSS HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE CURRENT 32N58W-TO-14N63W TROUGH WILL MOVE EASTWARD WITH TIME. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 500 MB SHOWS THAT A NORTHWEST WIND FLOW WILL REACH HISPANIOLA...WITH A SOUTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO-TO-CUBA-TO- HISPANIOLA TROUGH. THE GFS MODEL FORECAST FOR 700 MB SHOWS THAT NORTHWEST AND NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL REACH HISPANIOLA FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ...THE ATLANTIC OCEAN... A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 28N75W TO 22N74W IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE RAINSHOWERS FROM 24N TO 28N BETWEEN 72W AND 76W. A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N58W TO 25N59W 17N60W...AND TO 14N63W. THE TROUGH SUPPORTS A SURFACE TROUGH THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N57W...TO A 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 26N60W...TO 14N64W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N20W TO 29N30W 24N37W 17N30W AND 10N30W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION... BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE RAINSHOWERS FROM 10N NORTHWARD FROM 27N22W 16N25W 10N27W EASTWARD. A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N39W TO 27N43W 22N46W AND 13N48W. SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN FROM 10N NORTHWARD BETWEEN AFRICA AND THE TROUGH THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N57W...TO A 1006 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 26N60W...TO 14N63W. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ MT