000 AXNT20 KNHC 150125 CCA TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION...CORRECTED NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 805 PM EDT MON JUL 14 2014 CORRECTED THIRD TROPICAL WAVE PARAGRAGH TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 2315 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 16N35W TO 09N39W MOVING W AT 20 KT. THE WAVE IS WELL DEPICTED ON THE SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE IMAGERY. A DRY SAHARAN AIR LAYER IS INHIBITING SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION HOWEVER N OF 14N. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS. A TROPICAL WAVE IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM 18N59W TO 09N62W MOVING W AT 20 KT. THE WAVE IS MOSTLY EMBEDDED WITHIN THE DRY SAHARAN AIR LAYER INHIBITING SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION N OF 13N. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS E OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 09N-13N BETWEEN 58W-61W. A TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AT 20N93W TO THE EASTERN PACIFIC AT 11N94W MOVING W AT 15 KT. THE WAVE IS WELL DEPICTED ON THE SSMI TOTAL PRECIPITABLE IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS MOSTLY E OF THE WAVE AXIS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...GUATEMALA...AND SOUTH MEXICO FROM 14N-22N BETWEEN 87W-96W. ...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 12N16W TO 08N21W TO 09N32W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N32W TO 10N38W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES W OF A TROPICAL WAVE FROM 10N41W TO 09N50W TO 09N60W. BESIDES THE SHOWERS AND CONVECTION MENTIONED IN THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION... SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH FROM 06N- 09N BETWEEN 25W-29W. ...DISCUSSION... GULF OF MEXICO... SURFACE RIDGING FROM THE W ATLANTIC EXTENDS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF FROM 24N-26N BETWEEN 87W-92W. A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AND S MEXICO WITH CONVECTION INLAND TO INCLUDE THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. SEE ABOVE. EVENING AIRMASS SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE N GULF E OF E TEXAS AT 95W...OVER FLORIDA...AND OVER W CUBA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS... A SMALL UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER SE LOUISIANA AT 29N90W ENHANCING CONVECTION. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE TO MOVE W WITH ADDITIONAL CONVECTION. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE ELSEWHERE. CARIBBEAN SEA... A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN AND ANOTHER IS STILL AFFECTING THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND GUATEMALA. SEE ABOVE. 10-30 KT TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH STRONGEST WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN S OF 17N BETWEEN 70W-80W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED WITH THE TROPICAL WAVES...EVENING AIRMASS SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER CUBA...HISPANIOLA...COSTA RICA...AND PANAMA. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A RIDGE IS PRODUCING SOUTHERLY FLOW W OF 80W. ZONAL FLOW IS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR MORE CONVECTION OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA W OF 75W...AS WELL AS OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. ...HISPANIOLA... EVENING AIRMASS SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF HISPANIOLA. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR A LESSER PROBABILITY OF CONVECTION. ATLANTIC OCEAN... SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE N BAHAMAS AND THE W ATLANTIC N OF 24N W OF 75W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS E OF THE BAHAMAS FROM 30N67W TO 24N68W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WELL E OF THE TROUGH AXIS FROM 23N-29N BETWEEN 60W-65W. A LARGE 1028 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 34N50W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE W ATLANTIC NEAR 29N73W ENHANCING SHOWERS. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED E OF THE BAHAMAS NEAR 25N61W ENHANCING CONVECTION. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER WEATHER IS ELSEWHERE OVER THE SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC FROM 20N-30N. EXPECT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR THE TROPICAL WAVES TO MOVE W AND LITTLE CHANGE ELSEWHERE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ FORMOSA