000
AXNT20 KNHC 271755
TWDAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 AM EST FRI FEB 27 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL  
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF 
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE 
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE 
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL 
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1715 UTC.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...                                       
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 5N9W TO  
2N17W  TO THE EQUATOR NEAR 19W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...                                           
BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. 
A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM NEAR FORT MYERS FLORIDA 23N94W THEN 
STATIONARY TO THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 20N96W. OVERCAST MULTI-
LAYERED CLOUDS SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 300 NM N OF THE 
FRONT. A 95-115 KT JETSTREAM IS ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF FROM 
25N97W TO CENTRAL FLORIDA. NLY SURFACE WINDS 20-25 KT N OF THE 
FRONT WILL DECREASE TO BELOW 20 KT THIS AFTERNOON. THE FRONT IS 
FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO MOVE SE WEAKEN.

CARIBBEAN SEA...                                        
GENERALLY UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW WITH BROAD RIDGE ACROSS THE 
CARIBBEAN WITH WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATING VERY DRY AIR AND 
STABLE CONDITIONS ALOFT. THIS OVERALL STABILITY IS RESULTING IN 
FAIR SKIES AND TRANQUIL CONDITIONS...WHICH ARE EXPECTED TO 
CONTINUE THROUGH LATE FRI. TRADE WINDS HAVE DECREASED ACROSS THE 
COAST OF COLOMBIA...BUT ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 20-25 KT FRI 
NIGHT.
  
HISPANIOLA...                                                    
BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW TOP CLOUDS ARE ALONG WESTERN HAITI AND 
COASTAL WATERS WITH A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS. OTHERWISE MOSTLY 
FAIR WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO 
REMAIN FAIRLY TRANQUIL THROUGH FRI DUE TO DRY AND STABLE AIR  
ALOFT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...                                               
BROAD MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING IS NOTED OVER THE 
NORTHWEST PORTION OF THE AREA THAT SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT 
EXTENDING INTO THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 32N70W TO THE FLORIDA 
COAST 27N80W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS AREA ALONG 
AND N OF THE FRONT. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS 
CENTERED NEAR 24N31W. A 75-95 KT JETSTREAM IS S OF THE CYCLONIC 
CIRCULATION FROM 17N42W TO THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 17N17W. IN THE 
DEEP TROPICS AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED 
OFF THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 2N2W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
DGS