000
AXNT20 KNHC 251141
TWDAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 AM EST TUE FEB 25 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL  
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF 
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE 
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE 
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL 
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1115 UTC.

...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH...                                       
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE AFRICAN COAST NEAR 08N13W TO 
01N20W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS EXTENDS FROM 
01N20W TO THE EQUATOR NEAR 21W THEN ALONG THE EQUATOR TO 41W. 
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS S OF 05N BETWEEN 26W-53W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...                                                
A WEAK MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS NOTED ON WATER 
VAPOR IMAGERY MOVING EASTWARD OVER THE NE GULF COAST THIS 
MORNING WITH THE ENERGY FOCUSED IN THE VICINITY OF 28N88W. WEAK 
TROUGHING AT THE SURFACE RESULTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF WATERS 
AS CLOUDINESS AND MOISTURE...ALONG WITH A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS 
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH LATE TUESDAY N OF 27N E OF 90W. 
OTHERWISE...WEAK E-SE WINDS IN THE RANGE OF 5 TO 15 KT PREVAIL 
CURRENTLY WITH THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN TO CHANGE LITTLE 
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY WHEN THE NEXT FRONTAL 
BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE OFF THE TEXAS AND LOUISIANA 
COASTS WITH STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS FOLLOWING DURING THE DAY 
ON WEDNESDAY.

CARIBBEAN SEA...                                        
GENERALLY SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS OVER THE CARIBBEAN THIS 
MORNING WITH WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATING VERY DRY AIR AND 
STABLE CONDITIONS. THIS OVERALL STABILITY ALOFT IS RESULTING IN 
FAIR SKIES AND TRANQUIL CONDITIONS...WHICH ARE EXPECTED TO 
CONTINUE THROUGH LATE TUESDAY. TRADE WINDS PERSIST WITH THE 
STRONGEST WINDS NOTED GENERALLY S OF 15N BETWEEN 71W-79W IN 
CLOSE PROXIMITY TO THE COAST OF COLOMBIA.
 
HISPANIOLA...                                                    
CURRENTLY A FEW POSSIBLE ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE ACROSS SOUTHWEST 
PORTIONS OF THE ISLAND...HOWEVER TUESDAY SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY 
TRANQUIL DUE TO DRY AND STABLE WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ALOFT.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...                                               
A BROAD MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS NOTED ON WATER VAPOR 
IMAGERY OFF THE EASTERN U.S. SEABOARD THAT SUPPORTS A COLD FRONT 
EXTENDING INTO THE DISCUSSION AREA NEAR 32N64W. THE FRONT 
CONTINUES SW TO 29N75W AND BECOMES STATIONARY TO THE FLORIDA 
PENINSULA NEAR 28N81W. A PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH LIES TO THE 
SE OF THE COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM 32N59W SW TO 26N78W. 
ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE 
COLD FRONT AND ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN 
90 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE SURFACE TROUGH AXIS. OTHERWISE...THE 
REMAINDER OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLC IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE 
OF A SURFACE RIDGE ANCHORED BY A 1028 MB HIGH CENTERED SOUTH OF 
THE AZORES NEAR 33N28W.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$
HUFFMAN