000
AXNT20 KNHC 250007
TWDAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 PM EST FRI JAN 24 2014

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL  
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF 
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE 
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE 
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL 
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE OVER THE SW GULF OF MEXICO BEHIND A COLD 
FRONT FROM 21N-24N WEST OF 96W. THE GALE IS FORECAST TO END AT 
25/1800 UTC. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST... 
MIAHSFAT2/FZNT02 KNHC...AND THE OFFSHORE FORECAST... 
MIAOFFNT4/FZNT24 KNHC...FOR MORE DETAILS.

...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH...                                
     
THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE COASTAL AREAS OF SIERRA 
LEONE NEAR 8N12W TO 5N17W TO 3N23W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 
3N23W TO 2N27W AND 3N38W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG 
THE MONSOON TROUGH FROM 5N-7N BETWEEN 12W-16W. 

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO... 

AS OF 2100 UTC...A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM S FLORIDA AT 26N80W 
TO 26N93W TO 20N94W TO 18N95W. GALE-FORCE WINDS ARE OVER THE SW 
GULF OF MEXICO BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. SEE ABOVE. SCATTERED 
SHOWERS ARE N OF FRONT OVER THE W GULF AND N OF 27N OVER THE NE 
GULF. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...ZONAL FLOW IS NOW NOTED. THE FRONT 
SHOULD THUS NOT PUSH MUCH FURTHER TO THE SOUTH. EXPECT A WEAK 
LOW TO FORM ON THE FRONT OVER THE NE GULF OVER THE NEXT 24 
HOURS.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...








HISPANIOLA...

SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE PRESENTLY OVER HISPANIOLA WITH TRADE WIND 
FLOW. UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE IS PREVENTING THUNDERSTORM 
FORMATION. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 

ATLANTIC...












FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT 
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

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FORMOSA