000 AXNT20 KNHC 041110 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 805 AM EDT MON JUN 04 2012 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1115 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 12N49W 10N51W 3N52W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS IN THE WATER TO THE SOUTH OF 11N BETWEEN 50W AND 55W. CYCLONIC TURNING IS EVIDENT IN THE SHORTWAVE INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY IN ORDER TO BE ABLE TO IDENTIFY THE WAVE. ...ITCZ/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF GUINEA NEAR 11N15W TO 6N22W. THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE CONTINUES FROM 6N22W TO 4N30W 2N34W...BECOMING INDISTINCT AFTER 2N34W. CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 3N TO 7N TO THE EAST OF 20W...ISOLATED MODERATE TO THE EAST OF 10W...AND ELSEWHERE TO THE SOUTH OF 10N TO THE EAST OF 50W. ...DISCUSSION... THE GULF OF MEXICO... AN UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS IN MEXICO NEAR 24N102W. CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS MEXICO BETWEEN 100W AND 108W. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE PASSES THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL AND THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INTO THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS TO THE SOUTH OF 25N BETWEEN THE YUCATAN CHANNEL AND 91W...BECOMING ISOLATED MODERATE PRECIPITATION TO THE SOUTH OF 23N TO THE WEST OF 91W. A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDS FROM A 1016 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS JUST OFF THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF ANDROS ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS TO A SECOND 1016 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 27N85W... TOWARD THE GULF COAST BETWEEN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE TO THE SOUTH OF 26N TO THE EAST OF 93W. BROKEN HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE ELSEWHERE TO THE WEST OF 90W. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2...AND THE OFFSHORE FORECAST... MIAOFFNT4...FOR 20 KNOT WINDS TO THE NORTH OF 28N TO THE EAST OF 88W...AND TO THE SOUTH OF 23N BETWEEN 85W AND 90W. THE CARIBBEAN SEA... AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM PANAMA AND COSTA RICA...ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION COVERS THE GULF OF HONDURAS...FROM 16N TO 19N BETWEEN 87W AND 89W. REMAINING CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION...RE-DEVELOPING AFTER EARLIER AREAS OF PRECIPITATION HAD DEVELOPED AND ALREADY DISSIPATED...COVER CENTRAL AMERICA FROM AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH A 23N48W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...ACROSS THE CENTRAL PART OF THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ISLANDS...TO A 13N63W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER...TO 6N71W IN COLOMBIA JUST OFF THE VENEZUELA BORDER. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2...AND THE OFFSHORE FORECAST...MIAOFFNT4...FOR 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS AND 8 TO 11 FOOT SEA HEIGHTS TO THE WEST OF 65W. THE ATLANTIC OCEAN... AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES THROUGH 32N64W...NEAR BERMUDA... TO 27N67W AND 22N72W. THIS TROUGH SUPPORTS THE COLD FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 32N62W TO 26N72W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS WITHIN 180 NM TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE COLD FRONT...TO THE NORTH OF 27N. ISOLATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION IS TO THE NORTH OF 21N BETWEEN 50W AND 70W. A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH 32N35W TO 31N38W. THE FRONT DISSIPATES FROM 31N38W TO 28N46W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 30 TO 60 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A SURFACE RIDGE PASSES THROUGH 32N22W TO A 1022 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER THAT IS NEAR 30N24W...23N39W 20N51W 20N71W. PLEASE READ THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST...MIAHSFAT2...FOR 20 KNOT WINDS THAT ARE RELATED TO THE CURRENT COLD FRONT...AND A SECOND COLD FRONT THAT WILL BE APPROACHING THE AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ MT