000 AXNT20 KNHC 241157 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 705 AM EST TUE JAN 24 2012 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1115 UTC. ...THE ITCZ/THE MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH PASSES THROUGH COASTAL GUINEA NEAR 11N15W TO 6N16W. THE ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 6N16W TO 6N20W 5N30W 2N40W... CROSSING THE EQUATOR ALONG 46W...INTO NORTHEASTERN BRAZIL NEAR 3S50W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG RAINSHOWERS ARE TO THE SOUTH OF 2N BETWEEN 2W AND 6W...TO THE SOUTH OF 4N BETWEEN 18W AND 23W...AND TO THE SOUTH OF 4N BETWEEN 34W AND 50W. ...DISCUSSION... THE GULF OF MEXICO... CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND A DEEP LAYER TROUGH COVERS THE U.S.A. TO THE NORTH OF 36N BETWEEN 70W AND 92W. THE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FOR THE CURRENT GULF OF MEXICO FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS MISSING. A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO 29N90W IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. A WARM FRONT CONTINUES FROM 29N90W TO THE LOWER TEXAS GULF COAST. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE GULF WATERS TO THE NORTH OF 27N BETWEEN FLORIDA AND 91W. THE CARIBBEAN SEA... MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA THAT IS TO THE NORTH OF 15N TO THE EAST OF 73W. UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...AND FROM SOUTH AMERICA... NORTHEASTWARD. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL FOR CURACAO FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT 24/0000 UTC WAS 0.50 OF AN INCH. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS THAT ARE TO THE EAST OF 84W IN MANY PARTS OF THE AREA. THE ATLANTIC OCEAN... A MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR 24N65W. THE CYCLONIC WIND FLOW THAT IS MOVING AROUND THIS CENTER COVERS THE AREA FROM THE CARIBBEAN SEA TO THE NORTH OF 15N BETWEEN 52W AND 73W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS ALONG 31N70W 25N73W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG RAINSHOWERS ARE FROM 22N TO 25N BETWEEN 59W AND 63W. UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW MOVES FROM THE CARIBBEAN SEA...TO THE SOUTH OF 15N...ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ISLANDS...TOWARD 22N44W...AND THEN EVENTUALLY EASTWARD TO AFRICA. BROAD MIDDLE LEVEL TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE NORTH OF 22N BETWEEN 32W AND 50W. THIS AREA HAS BEEN COVERED BY A TROUGH FOR THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS. THIS CYCLONIC WIND FLOW SUPPORTS A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH 31N38W TO 26N40W TO 17N45W. A REMNANT 1016 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 27N43W. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TO THE NORTH OF 23N BETWEEN 35W AND 43W. A SURFACE RIDGE IS ALONG 15N31W 24N30W BEYOND 32N28W. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ MT