000 AXNT20 KNHC 061043 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 805 AM EDT WED AUG 06 2008 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR. BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1015 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ALONG 37W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING W AT 20 KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A CLASSIC INVERTED-V SIGNATURE ...AND THE TPW PRODUCT FROM CIMSS SHOWS A BULGE OF MOISTURE. SCATTERED SHOWERS COVERS A LARGE AREA FROM 5N-23N BETWEEN 34W-40W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE ITCZ FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 36W-39W. A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 52W S OF 18N MOVING W NEAR 20 KT. THIS IS A LOW AMPLITUDE WAVE WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE ITCZ FROM 9N-10N BETWEEN 50W-53W. THE HIGH AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE E CARIBBEAN HAS BROKEN. THE N PART IS MOVING NWD OVER THE W ATLC AS A SURFACE TROUGH WHILE THE REMAINDER OF THE WAVE IS ALONG 72W S OF 21N MOVING W AT 20-25 KT. THE AXIS CURRENTLY EXTENDS S OF HISPANIOLA TO NW VENEZUELA. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS OVER THE CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER VENEZUELA FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 67W-73W. A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER S MEXICO ALONG 94W S OF 21W MOVING WEST AT 20 KT. THE WAVE IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE S OF 21N. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE OVER S MEXICO FROM 14N-18N BETWEEN 94W-98W. ...THE ITCZ... ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 12N16W 11N20W 13N30W 9N45W 11N62W. BESIDES THE CONVECTION MENTIONED IN THE TROPICAL WAVE SECTION... A LARGE CLUSTER SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF W AFRICA FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 17W-23W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS E OF TRINIDAD FROM 10N-11N BETWEEN 57W-59W. ...DISCUSSION... GULF OF MEXICO... TROPICAL DEPRESSION EDOUARD IS WEAKENING ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS. EDOUARD IS LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 97.7W...OR 30 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF WACO TEXAS MOVING TO NW AT 13 KT. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB. EDOUARD IS STILL PRODUCING A GOOD AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION OVER INLAND E TEXAS. A WEAK 1019 MB HIGH IS OVER THE NE GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 29N87W. A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. SEE ABOVE. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE SE GULF OF MEXICO FROM 23N-26N BETWEEN 81W-85W. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. IN THE UPPER LEVELS... AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS OVER NE TEXAS DUE TO EDOUARD. A SMALL UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 21N95W. CONSIDERABLE UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE COVERS THE ENTIRE GULF OF MEXICO. EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER EASTERN AND SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS ESPECIALLY OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. CARIBBEAN SEA... A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN SEA. SEE ABOVE. A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED INLAND OVER N COLOMBIA NEAR 9N74W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF CENTRAL CUBA FROM 19N-21N BETWEEN 77W-82W. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER PANAMA...COSTA RICA...AND NICARAGUA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER HIGH IS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR 20N87W. AN UPPER LOW IS CENTERED N OF HISPANIOLA NEAR 21N73W. DIFFLUENCE W OF THE CENTER IS ENHANCING CONVECTION OVER CUBA AND JAMAICA. EXPECT THE TROPICAL WAVE TO MOVE W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A 1021 MB HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 29N53W. A SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS W TO N FLORIDA NEAR 29N80W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS E OF THE BAHAMAS FROM 28N69W TO 23N72W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 23N-25N BETWEEN 71W-73W. A 1019 MB HIGH IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR 35N17W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A RIDGE IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC N OF 25N BETWEEN 70W-80W. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC N OF HISPANIOLA NEAR 21N73W. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 20N53W. YET ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 16N34W. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 33N40W. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS N OF 27N E OF 30W. EXPECT...THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 37W TO BE A GOOD SOURCE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. $$ FORMOSA