000 AXNT20 KNHC 060554 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 205 AM EDT WED AUG 06 2008 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR. BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0515 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ALONG 32W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING W AT 10 KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A CLASSIC INVERTED-V SIGNATURE ...AND THE TPW PRODUCT FROM CIMSS SHOWS A BULGE OF MOISTURE ALONG 32W. CYCLONIC TURNING IS ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 16N WITH ISOLATED SHOWER ACTIVITY. A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 49W S OF 18N MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. THIS IS A LOW AMPLITUDE WAVE WITH NO DEEP CONVECTION. THE HIGH AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE E CARIBBEAN HAS BROKEN. THE N PART IS MOVING NWD OVER THE W ATLC WHILE THE REMAINDER OF THE WAVE IS ADJUSTED ALONG 69W MOVING W AT 20 KT. LOCATION IS BASED ON SFC OBSERVATIONS...DOPPLER RADAR AND SATELLITE PICTURES. THE AXIS CURRENTLY EXTENDS S OF HISPANIOLA TO NW VENEZUELA. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS OVER THE CARIBBEAN. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER VENEZUELA FROM 4N-9N BETWEEN 63W-70W. A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND GUATEMALA ALONG 92W S OF 23W MOVING WEST AT 20 KT. THE WAVE IS GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS OVER THE ERN BAY OF CAMPECHE. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE OVER S MEXICO FROM 15N-18N BETWEEN 92W-96W. ...THE ITCZ... ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 12N16W 11N20W 13N31W 11N35W 11N62W. A LARGE CLUSTER SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF W AFRICA FROM 11N-14N BETWEEN 15W-20W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 35W-38W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS E OF TRINIDAD FROM 10N-12N BETWEEN 55W-59W. ...DISCUSSION... GULF OF MEXICO... TROPICAL DEPRESSION EDOUARD IS MOVING THROUGH TEXAS. EDOUARD IS LOCATED NEAR 31N96.4W ...OR 65 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WACO TEXAS MOVING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 KT. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB. EDOUARD IS STILL PRODUCING A GOOD AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION OVER INLAND E TEXAS. A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. SEE ABOVE. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER THE E GULF OF MEXICO E OF 84W. MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF. IN THE UPPER LEVELS... AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS OVER NE TEXAS DUE TO EDOUARD. A SMALL UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 22N95W. CONSIDERABLE UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE COVERS THE ENTIRE GULF OF MEXICO. EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER MOST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS ESPECIALLY OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. CARIBBEAN SEA... A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN SEA. SEE ABOVE. A 1007 MB LOW IS CENTERED INLAND OVER N COLOMBIA NEAR 10N74W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OFF THE COAST OF CENTRAL CUBA FROM 19N-21N BETWEEN 77W-81W. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER COSTA RICA AND NICARAGUA. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AN UPPER HIGH IS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR 20N87W. AN UPPER LOW IS CENTERED N OF HISPANIOLA NEAR 21N73W. DIFFLUENCE W OF THE CENTER IS ENHANCING CONVECTION OVER CUBA AND JAMAICA. EXPECT THE TROPICAL WAVE TO MOVE W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A 1023 MB HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 29N49W. A SURFACE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS W TO N FLORIDA NEAR 29N80W. A SURFACE TROUGH IS E OF THE BAHAMAS FROM 28N68W TO 22N71W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 23N-25N BETWEEN 70W-72W. A 1019 MB HIGH IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC NEAR 31N28W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A RIDGE IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC N OF 25N BETWEEN 70W-80W. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC N OF HISPANIOLA NEAR 21N73W. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 20N53W. YET ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 16N34W. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 33N40W. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS N OF 27N E OF 30W. EXPECT...THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 32W TO BE A GOOD SOURCE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. $$ FORMOSA