000
AXNT20 KNHC 301043
TWDAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION      
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT SUN MAR 30 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL 
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN 
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE 
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL 
ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 5N10W 2N20W 1N35W CROSSING THE 
EQUATOR NEAR 42W TO 2S46W.  A SURFACE TROUGH FORMS A SOUTHERN 
ITCZ EXTENDING FROM 1S17W TO 3S27W.  SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM EQ-3N BETWEEN 22W-28W...AND FROM 1S-2N 
BETWEEN 45W-47W.  WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 
EQ-1N BETWEEN 31W-33W...AND FROM 1N-3N BETWEEN 36W-45W.  
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE 
TROUGH FROM 1S-3S BETWEEN 17W-25W...AND FROM 1S-4S BETWEEN 
28W-33W. 

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
15-20 KT SELY RETURN FLOW COVERS THE GULF OF MEXICO.  A 
STATIONARY FRONT IS INLAND OVER LOUISIANA.  SCATTERED MODERATE 
CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF LOUISIANA FROM 29N-30N BETWEEN 
91W-93W MOVING E.  BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE 
OVER THE NW GULF N OF 26N AND W OF 90W.  MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER 
COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF.  IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A RIDGE 
IS OVER THE GULF.  SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE COVERS THE N 
GULF N OF 23N.  STRONG SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE 
GULF.  EXPECT MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER OVER THE GULF FOR THE NEXT 
24 HOURS.  

CARIBBEAN SEA...
FRESH TRADES DOMINATE THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH PATCHES OF BROKEN 
LOW CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE N CARIBBEAN FROM THE 
VIRGIN ISLANDS TO E CUBA N OF 17N.  MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE 
OVER THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 68W.  IN THE UPPER LEVELS...THE 
LEADING EDGE OF A RIDGE IS OVER THE W CARIBBEAN W OF 80W 
PRODUCING NW UPPER LEVEL FLOW.  THE BASE OF AN UPPER LEVEL 
TROUGH IS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN SEA E OF 80W.  STRONG SUBSIDENCE 
COVERS THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN.  EXPECT MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER 
THE NORTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC AND THE N BAHAMAS FROM 
29N78W TO 25N79W.  SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE N OF 28N BETWEEN 
75W-79W.  A STRONG 1032 MB HIGH DOMINATES THE CENTRAL 
ATLANTIC NEAR 33N32W.  BROAD SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS N OF 
15N BETWEEN 10W-60W WITH PATCHES OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND 
ISOLATED SHOWERS.  IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A TROUGH IS OVER THE W 
ATLANTIC N OF 20N AND W OF 60W.  ZONAL FLOW COVERS THE REMAINDER 
OF THE ATLANTIC N OF 10N.  EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE W 
ATLANTIC W OF 65W DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

$$
FORMOSA