000
AXNT20 KNHC 300549
TWDAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION      
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SUN MAR 30 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL 
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN 
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE 
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL 
ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 5N10W 3N20W 2N30W CROSSING THE 
EQUATOR NEAR 42W TO 2S45W.  A SURFACE TROUGH FORMS A SOUTHERN 
ITCZ EXTENDING FROM 2S18W TO 4S29W 7S31W.  SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM EQ-1N BETWEEN 24W-28W...1N-2N 
BETWEEN 28W-31W...AND FROM EQ-3N BETWEEN 41W-45W.  SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE TROUGH FROM 1S-3S 
BETWEEN 18W-23W...FROM 2S-5S BETWEEN 25W-29W...AND FROM 5S-7S 
BETWEEN 29W-31W. 

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
10-20 KT SELY RETURN FLOW COVERS THE GULF OF MEXICO.  A 
STATIONARY FRONT IS INLAND OVER SE TEXAS.  SCATTERED MODERATE 
CONVECTION IS INLAND N OF CORPUS CHRISTI FROM 29N-30N BETWEEN 
96W-98W.  BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE OVER THE NW 
GULF N OF 27N AND W OF 92W.  MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER COVERS THE 
REMAINDER OF THE GULF.  IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A RIDGE IS OVER 
TEXAS AND THE W GULF W OF 85W.  A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS 
OVER FLORIDA.  SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE COVERS THE N 
GULF N OF 23N.  STRONG SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE 
GULF. EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE NW GULF OVER THE NEXT 24 
HOURS.  

CARIBBEAN SEA...
FRESH TRADES DOMINATE THE CARIBBEAN SEA WITH PATCHES OF BROKEN 
LOW CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE N CARIBBEAN FROM THE 
VIRGIN ISLANDS TO E CUBA N OF 17N.  MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE 
OVER THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 68W.  IN THE UPPER LEVELS...THE 
LEADING EDGE OF A RIDGE IS OVER THE W CARIBBEAN W OF 80W 
PRODUCING NW UPPER LEVEL FLOW.  THE BASE OF AN UPPER LEVEL 
TROUGH IS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN SEA E OF 80W.  STRONG SUBSIDENCE 
COVERS THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN.  EXPECT MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER 
THE NORTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC AND THE N BAHAMAS FROM 
30N76W TO 26N78W.  SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE N OF 28N BETWEEN 
72W-78W.  A STRONG 1032 MB HIGH DOMINATES THE CENTRAL 
ATLANTIC NEAR 33N33W.  BROAD SURFACE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS N OF 
15N BETWEEN 10W-60W WITH PATCHES OF BROKEN LOW CLOUDS AND 
ISOLATED SHOWERS.  IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A TROUGH IS OVER THE W 
ATLANTIC N OF 20N AND W OF 70W.  ZONAL FLOW COVERS THE REMAINDER 
OF THE ATLANTIC N OF 10N.  EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE W 
ATLANTIC W OF 65W DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

$$
FORMOSA