000
AXNT20 KNHC 262322
TWDAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION      
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT WED MAR 26 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL 
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN 
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE 
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL 
ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2315 UTC.

...ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 5N10W 2N20W 1N30W CROSSING THE 
EQUATOR NEAR 35W TO NE BRAZIL NEAR 4S39W.  SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF W AFRICA FROM 
3N-6N BETWEEN 2W-6W...FROM 4N-6N BETWEEN 7W-9W...AND FROM 3N-4N 
BETWEEN 10W-13W.  WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 
2N-4N BETWEEN 20W-22W.  ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 
1S-2N BETWEEN 30W-42W.    

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...
A 1030 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER OFF THE COAST OF NE FLORIDA NEAR 
30N79W.  A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SW FROM THE HIGH TO THE BAY OF 
CAMPECHE NEAR 20N96W PRODUCING 10-20 KT ELY TO SELY SURFACE FLOW 
OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO.  AN AREA OF BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW 
CLOUDS ARE INLAND OVER NE TEXAS N OF CORPUS CHRISTI.  MOSTLY 
FAIR WEATHER DOMINATES THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO.  
SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE GONE BACK UP NICELY.  IN THE UPPER 
LEVELS... THE BASE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE GULF 
WITH AXIS ALONG 81W.  STRONG SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE ENTIRE GULF.  
EXPECT... CONTINUED FAIR WEATHER OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO FOR THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS.   

CARIBBEAN SEA...
AS OF 2100 UTC...A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM E CUBA NEAR 
20N75W TO A 1013 MB LOW OVER HONDURAS NEAR 16N86W.  SCATTERED 
SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE FRONT.  BROKEN TO OVERCAST LOW 
CLOUDS EXTEND 200 NM N OF THE FRONT ESPECIALLY OVER E CUBA AND 
HONDURAS.  A 1008 MB LOW IS INLAND OVER N COLOMBIA NEAR 9N75W.  
ELSEWHERE...BROKEN LOW CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE OVER 
THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 70W MOVING W WITH THE TRADES.  IN THE UPPER 
LEVELS... AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE NW CARIBBEAN AND 
CENTRAL AMERICA N OF 16N AND W OF 70W.  AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS 
CENTERED OVER BARBADOS NEAR 13N60W PRODUCING SWLY FLOW OVER THE 
CARIBBEAN S OF 16N AND E OF 80W.  A BAND OF UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE 
AND BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS EXTEND FROM N COLOMBIA TO BEYOND THE 
VIRGIN ISLANDS.  EXPECT...THE STATIONARY FRONT TO REMAIN IN 
PLACE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH SOME WEAKENING. 

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AS OF 2100 UTC...A 1030 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER OFF THE COAST 
OF NE FLORIDA NEAR 30N79W.  A COLD FRONT ENTERS THE W ATLANTIC 
NEAR 32N50W AND EXTENDS SW TO E CUBA NEAR 20N74W.  SCATTERED 
SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 30 NM OF THE FRONT.  A 1031 MB HIGH IS OVER 
THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC S OF THE AZORES NEAR 35N26W.  A SURFACE 
RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS SW FROM THE HIGH CENTER TO 27N50W.  IN THE 
UPPER LEVELS...A TROUGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC N OF 20N AND W OF 
70W.  A RIDGE IS BETWEEN 40W-70W.  A TROUGH IS OVER THE E 
ATLANTIC E OF 40W.  AN EMBEDDED UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 
26N33W.  EXPECT...THE FRONT N OF 27N TO PROCEED E TO 32N44W 
WHILE THE REMAINDER OF THE FRONT BECOMES STATIONARY WITH 
SHOWERS.   

$$
FORMOSA