000 AXNT20 KNHC 081157 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 705 AM EST FRI FEB 8 2008 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR. BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 1115 UTC ...THE ITCZ... 7N11W 4N20W 3N30W 2N40W 2N45W...GOING JUST SOUTH OF THE EQUATOR NEAR 52W IN NORTHEASTERN BRAZIL. STRONG SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 45 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 3N9W 2N13W 3N15W 2N17W...AND FROM 5N TO 7N BETWEEN 12W AND 14W. ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS TO LOCALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 120 NM TO 180 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF 4N18W 3N30W 3N39W 3N52W. THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN WEST OF 75W... A STATIONARY FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE ATLANTIC OCEAN THROUGH 31N78W TO A TRANSIENT 1014 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 27N84W IN THE GULF OF MEXICO...TO THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA...AND EVENTUALLY TO THE COASTAL PLAINS OF MEXICO IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...WEST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SOUTH OF 20N. THIS FRONT GOES TO A 1008 MB TRANSIENT LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR 17N96W. A TROUGH CONTINUES FROM THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER ACROSS INTERIOR MEXICO TO 22N103W. A 1019 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER DEVELOPED NEAR 27N92W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 90 NM TO 120 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE LINE THROUGH 31N77W TO 29N80W 25N86W 21N92W 18N94W. A SECOND COLD FRONT HAS MOVED INTO THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO WATERS...STRETCHING FROM SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA TO SOUTH TEXAS. THIS FRONT IS IDENTIFIED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY BY A WELL-DEFINED ROPE CLOUD. THE CARIBBEAN SEA... THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IN THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF THE AREA FROM THE LAST 24 HOURS APPEARS TO HAVE DISAPPEARED. BROAD MIDDLE LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW COVERS THE AREA BETWEEN 70W AND 80W. SHOWERS ARE IN A LINE FROM 20N SOUTHWARD TO EASTERN HONDURAS BETWEEN 82W AND 84W. SOME HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE MOVING FROM SOUTH AMERICA NORTHWARD TO 15N... CURVING TO THE NORTHEAST A BIT. SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SURFACE TO LOW LEVEL TRADEWIND FLOW EAST OF JAMAICA. THE ATLANTIC OCEAN... BROAD AND LARGE SCALE UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA WEST OF 40W COURTESY OF THE MASSIVE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT IS CENTERED IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN. A DEEP LAYER CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS NEAR 29N22W...WITH A TROUGH TRAILING FROM THE CENTER TO 20N24W. THE MASSIVE RIDGE THAT STARTED OVER MEXICO AND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES OF THE U.S.A. DURING THE LAST 24 TO 48 HOURS FINALLY HAS MADE IT TO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...AS ANTICYCLONIC WIND FLOW COVERS THE AREA BETWEEN 30W AND 60W. A 1026 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 28N50W. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE COVERS THE AREA NORTH OF 10N WEST OF 30W BETWEEN THE EASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN DEEP LAYER TROUGH/SURFACE FRONT AND THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN-TO-EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO STATIONARY FRONT. $$ MT