000
AXNT20 KNHC 270010
TWDAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 PM EST SAT JAN 26 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL 
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN 
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE 
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING
INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL 
ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 2315 UTC

...THE ITCZ...
THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS FROM W AFRICA TO BRAZIL AND IS CENTERED 
ALONG 6N10W 2N30W EQ40W 2S45W.  ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 
FROM 2N-5N BETWEEN 22W-28W...AND FROM 2S-1N BETWEEN 28W-35W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...
AS OF 2100 UTC A 1016 MB LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE NE GULF OF 
MEXICO NEAR 28N87W.  A COLD FRONT EXTENDS SW TO THE BAY OF 
CAMPECHE ALONG 22N95W 19N96W.  A STATIONARY FRONT CONTINUES INTO 
S MEXICO ALONG 20N98W 22N100W.  A WARM FRONT EXTENDS E FROM THE 
LOW TO N FLORIDA AT 29N83W.  A COLD FRONT CONTINUES NE ACROSS 
FLORIDA TO 30N80W.  OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS ARE OVER THE N 
GULF N OF THE FRONTS.  SCATTERED RAIN AND SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 
90NM N OF THE FRONT ESPECIALLY OVER FLORIDA.  THE GULF S OF THE 
FRONTS HAVE MOSTLY LIGHT SLY SURFACE FLOW WITH FAIR WEATHER.  IN 
THE UPPER LEVELS...NWLY FLOW DOMINATES OVER THE ENTIRE GULF.  
CONSIDERABLE MOISTURE IS OVER THE N GULF N OF 24N.  STRONG 
SUBSIDENCE IS OVER THE S GULF S OF 24N.  EXPECT THE SURFACE LOW 
TO DISSIPATE WHILE A COLD FRONT PUSHES RAPIDLY S.  THE COLD 
FRONT WILL EXTENDS FROM W CUBA TO TAMPICO MEXICO IN 24 HOURS 
WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS.      

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
MODERATE TRADEWINDS ARE OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA AND CENTRAL 
AMERICA.  PATCHES OF SCATTERED SHOWERS DOTS THE AREA ESPECIALLY 
OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA FROM PANAMA TO 
GUATEMALA.  IN THE UPPER LEVELS...SWLY FLOW WITH VERY STRONG 
SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE ENTIRE AREA.  EXPECT THE COLD FRONT TO 
PRODUCE SCATTERED RAIN AND SHOWERS OVER CUBA...THE NW 
CARIBBEAN...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN 24 HOURS.  ALSO 
EXPECT THE TRADEWINDS TO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS 
OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN AND SRN CENTRAL AMERICA.        

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A 1026 MB HIGH IS OVER THE W ATLANTIC W OF BERMUDA NEAR 34N72W. 
A COLD FRONT IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC AND EXTENDS SW TO E 
CUBA ALONG 32N46W 24N60W 20N74W.  SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE WITHIN 
90 NM OF THE FRONT.  A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC 
ALONG 30W FROM 18N-30N.  IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A TROUGH IS OVER 
THE W ATLANTIC N OF 20N BETWEEN 50W-80W.  A STEEP RIDGE IS OVER 
THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC N OF 20N BETWEEN 40W-50W.  A TROUGH IS OVER 
THE E ATLANTIC N OF 20N BETWEEN 20W-40W.  AN EMBEDDED UPPER 
LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 27N30W.  UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE E OF 
THE LOW CENTER IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS W OF THE CANARY 
ISLANDS FROM 23N-30N BETWEEN 18W-24W.  FURTHER S...WLY UPPER 
LEVEL FLOW IS OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC S OF 20N FROM THE 
LESSER ANTILLES TO W AFRICA.  EXPECT...A COLD FRONT TO MOVE FROM 
FLORIDA TO THE W ATLANTIC AND EXTEND FROM 30N67W TO W CUBA NEAR 
22N80W WITHIN 24 HOURS WITH SCATTERED RAIN AND SHOWERS.  ALSO 
EXPECT THE FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC TO MOVE E AND EXTEND 
FROM 30N32W TO 25N50W WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS.   

$$
FORMOSA