000
AXNT20 KNHC 262336
TWDAT 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
705 PM EST MON NOV 26 2007

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL 
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN 
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE 
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION 
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS... 
WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 2315 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 67W SOUTH OF 14N MOVING 
WEST 10-15 KT.  THIS WAVE IS MORE AND MORE DIFFICULT TO SPOT IN 
THE LOW LEVEL FLOW.  NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOTED.  

...THE ITCZ...
THE ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 8N13W 5N20W 3N40W 1N50W.  
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE FROM 3N-7N BETWEEN 15W-24W.   

DISCUSSION...

THE GULF OF MEXICO...
AS OF 2100 UTC...A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE 
TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ALONG 30N85W 25N88W 20N94W.  SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION IS W OF THE FRONT IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE 
FROM 20N-22N BETWEEN 94W-96W.  A SQUALL LINE WITH FREQUENT 
LIGHTNING IS E OF THE FRONT OVER N FLORIDA AND THE NE GULF OF 
MEXICO ALONG 31N83W 28N85W.  SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 
FROM 28N-31N BETWEEN 83W-85W.  IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A TROUGH IS 
IS OVER THE NW GULF W OF 90W.  THE WESTERN EDGE OF A RIDGE IS 
OVER THE E GULF PRODUCING SWLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW.  A BAND OF 
UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS OVER THE E GULF E OF 88W.  STRONG 
SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE NW GULF.  EXPECT...THE COLD FRONT TO 
EXTEND FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA TO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ALONG 28N80W 
20N95W WITH LIGHT CONVECTION IN 24 HOURS. 

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN NOT PRODUCING ANY 
CONVECTION.  SEE ABOVE.  STEADY TRADEWINDS ARE NOTED OVER THE 
CARIBBEAN ESPECIALLY S OF 18N.  SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 
OVER THE W CARIBBEAN...AND CENTRAL AMERICA FROM PANAMA TO 
HONDURAS...FROM 8N-19N BETWEEN 81W-85W.  MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER IS 
OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN SEA.  IN THE UPPER 
LEVELS...A RIDGE IS OVER THE CARIBBEAN WITH AXIS ALONG 77W. 
SUBSIDENCE IS OVER THE E CARIBBEAN E OF 80W.  CONSIDERABLE 
MOISTURE IS OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE W CARIBBEAN W OF 80W. 
EXPECT...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO W OF 80W 
OVER THE CARIBBEAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ALSO EXPECT THE TROPICAL WAVE TO BE DROPPED.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A DISSIPATING COLD FRONT IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC FROM 
32N38W 26N50W WITH NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.  A TROUGH... 
REMNANTS OF AN OLD FRONT... IS FURTHER E ALONG 31N35W 17N40W.  
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 22-30N BETWEEN 
35W-39W.  A SURFACE RIDGE IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC N OF 15N AND E 
OF 30W.  IN THE UPPER LEVELS... A RIDGE IS W OF 60W.  A TROUGH 
IS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC N OF 10N BETWEEN 40W-60W.  A RIDGE 
IS OVER THE E ATLANTIC N OF 10N BETWEEN 20W-40W.  UPPER LEVEL 
WLY FLOW IS OVER THE TROPICS BETWEEN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND W 
AFRICA.  

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FORMOSA