000 AXNT20 KNHC 030455 TWDAT TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 205 AM EDT SUN JUN 03 2007 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS... WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR. BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0415 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... NONE. ...TROPICAL WAVES... TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 50W/51W S OF 9N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WAVE REMAINS WEAK AND DIFFICULT TO LOCATE ESPECIALLY NOW THAT IS MOVING INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA. WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ SO MOST OF THE CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ. ...ITCZ... ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 9N12W 7N25W 6N36W 8N60W. SCATTERED/ NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION IS MOVING OFF THE COAST OF W AFRICA NE OF A LINE FROM 2N9W TO 7N15W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 21W-25W AND 90/120 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS FROM 36W-41W. CLUSTERS OF SIMILAR CONVECTION ARE FROM 3N-8N BETWEEN 29W-35W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ARE FROM 2N-10N W OF 43W TO INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA. ...DISCUSSION... GULF OF MEXICO... BROAD UPPER TROUGH COVERS THE GULF WITH AN UPPER LOW OVER SE GEORGIA. THE REMNANTS OF BARRY ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS UPPER FLOW. DRY AIR AND CLEAR SKIES DOMINATE THE GULF WITH THE EXCEPTION OF OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS OVER THE NE GULF N OF 27N E OF 84W TO OVER FLORIDA...ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF BARRY WHICH IS 996 MB LOW ALONG THE COAST OF GEORGIA AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NE TO ALONG THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ALSO IN THE WAKE OF BARRY IS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WITH A 1012 MB HIGH S OF LOUISIANA NEAR 28N92W. CARIBBEAN SEA... UPPER TROUGH OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN GENERATING AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS THAT EXTENDS FROM THE GULF HONDURAS TO ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA GIVING THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA NE TO E FLOW. OUTER RAINBANDS FROM THE REMNANTS OF BARRY ARE GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS N OF 20N ACROSS CUBA INTO THE W ATLC BETWEEN 77W-84W. THE REMAINDER OF THE CARIBBEAN IS UNDER FAIR SKIES WITH THE EXCEPTION BEING ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA WHERE THE ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS ACROSS SOUTH AMERICA GENERATING SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION S OF 12N BETWEEN 72W-77W. LIGHT TO MODERATE EASTERLY TRADE WINDS DOMINATE THE ENTIRE AREA. ATLANTIC OCEAN... ABUNDANCE OF DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF BARRY ARE OVER THE W ATLC WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 150/200 NM OF LINE FROM ACROSS CUBA NEAR 22N78W ALONG 27N75W TO BEYOND 32N75W AND OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED SHOWER W OF A LINE FROM CUBA NEAR 23N81W TO BEYOND 32N77W. THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE THE GULF OF MEXICO EXTENDS ACROSS FLORIDA INTO THE W ATLC W OF 77W WITH THE RIDGE AXIS FROM THE CARIBBEAN EXTENDING ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA TO BEYOND 32N70W. DEEP LAYERED TROUGH IS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE W ATLC INTO THE CENTRAL ATLC WITH A 1016 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR 30N45W AND A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING SW ALONG 25N49W TO 22N56W GENERATING SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE SURFACE TROUGH. ALSO AT THE SURFACE IS A 1024 MB HIGH E OF BERMUDA NEAR 32N61W. AN UPPER HIGH IS IN THE E/CENTRAL ATLC NEAR 11N42W WITH AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDING FROM AN UPPER LOW NEAR THE CANARY ISLANDS SW TO 18N36W. A SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE E ATLC EXTENDS FROM A 1026 MB HIGH BETWEEN THE MADEIRA ISLANDS AND THE AZORES SW TO NEAR 20N45W. FAIR WEATHER CLOUDS DOMINATES THE ATLC E OF 60W WITH DRY AIR ALREADY IN PLACE. $$ WALLACE