000
WTPZ35 KNHC 050543
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Xavier Intermediate Advisory Number 10A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP252018
1200 AM CST Mon Nov 05 2018

...XAVIER BRINGING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS
OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1200 AM CST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.4N 105.8W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula, Mexico

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1200 AM CST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Xavier was
located near latitude 18.4 North, longitude 105.8 West. Xavier is
moving toward the north-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h).  A turn
toward the west-northwest at a similar forward speed is expected
today, followed by a westward motion by Tuesday.  On the forecast
track, Xavier's center is expected to remain offshore the coast of
southwestern Mexico and begin to move farther away from the coast
later today.

Recent satellite wind data indicate that the maximum sustained
winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.  Weakening is
forecast during the next few days, and Xavier is expected to
degenerate into a remnant low on Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Xavier is expected to produce total rain accumulations
of 1 to 3 inches over coastal sections of the Mexican states of
Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco through Monday.  Isolated
maximum amounts of 4 inches are possible over Michoacan and Colima.
This rainfall may produce flooding.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning
area through this morning.

SURF:  Swells generated by Xavier will affect portions of the coast
of southwestern Mexico during the next few days.  These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST.

$$
Forecaster Brown