000
WTPZ35 KNHC 040837
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Xavier Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP252018
300 AM CST Sun Nov 04 2018

...XAVIER TURNS NORTHWARD...
...HIGH SURF AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM CST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 105.9W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 AM CST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Xavier was
located near latitude 16.6 North, longitude 105.9 West. Xavier is
moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the west-
northwest and west are expected tonight and Monday, and Xavier is
then forecast to move westward through mid-week.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is expected to begin later today and continue
over the next few days.  Xavier is forecast to weaken to a tropical
depression by Monday night, and degenerate into a remnant low
on Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Xavier will affect portions of the coast
of southwestern Mexico during the next few days.  These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

RAINFALL:  Xavier may produce locally heavy rainfall over portions
of southwestern Mexico.  Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM CST.

$$
Forecaster Brown