000
WTPZ35 KNHC 040236
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Xavier Advisory Number   6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP252018
1000 PM CDT Sat Nov 03 2018

...XAVIER TURNS NORTHEASTWARD...
...HIGH SURF AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.1N 105.7W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Xavier was
located near latitude 16.1 North, longitude 105.7 West.Xavier is
moving toward the northeast near 7 mph (11 km/h). A slower motion
toward the north-northeast and then north is expected overnight and
on Sunday, followed by a turn toward the west on Monday. Xavier is
then forecast to move westward through mid-week.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Small
fluctuations in intensity are possible tonight and on Sunday.
Weakening is anticipated by Sunday night or Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Xavier will begin affecting portions of
the coast of southwestern Mexico tonight and Sunday.  These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

RAINFALL:  Xavier may produce locally heavy rainfall over portions
of southwestern Mexico.  Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky