000
WTPZ35 KNHC 032039
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Xavier Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP252018
300 PM MDT Sat Nov 03 2018

...XAVIER CONTINUES MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD...
...HIGH SURF AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.6N 106.1W
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Xavier was
located near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 106.1 West.  Xavier is
moving toward the east-northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h).  A slower
motion toward the northeast and then north is expected through
Sunday, followed by a turn toward the northwest and west on Sunday
night or Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is possible through tonight.  Weakening is
expected to begin by Sunday night or Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Xavier will begin affecting portions of
the coast of southwestern Mexico tonight and Sunday.  These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

RAINFALL:  Xavier may produce locally heavy rainfall over portions
of southwestern Mexico.  Please consult products from your local
weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven