000
WTPZ35 KNHC 031433
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Xavier Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP252018
900 AM MDT Sat Nov 03 2018

...XAVIER CONTINUES MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AND STRENGTHENS A
LITTLE MORE...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.3N 107.0W
ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Xavier was
located near latitude 15.3 North, longitude 107.0 West.  Xavier is
moving toward the east-northeast near 8 mph (13 km/h).  A slower
motion toward the northeast and then north is expected through
Sunday night, followed by a turn toward the northwest and west on
Monday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Some additional strengthening is possible through
tonight.  Weakening is expected to begin by Sunday night or Monday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Xavier will begin affecting portions of
the coast of southwestern Mexico tonight and Sunday.  These swells
are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven