647 WTPZ35 KNHC 021434 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Remnants Of Rosa Advisory Number 30 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP202018 900 AM MDT Tue Oct 02 2018 ...ROSA DISSIPATES BUT THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS AND FLASH FLOODING CONTINUES OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST... SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.7N 114.2W ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM SSE OF SAN FELIPE MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the remnants of Rosa were located near latitude 29.7 North, longitude 114.2 West. The remnants are moving toward the northeast near 8 mph (13 km/h), and they are expected to move over the Desert Southwest by tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Rosa is expected to produce the following total rainfall accumulations into Wednesday: Baja California and northwestern Sonora: 3 to 6 inches, isolated 10 inches. Central and Southern Arizona: 2 to 4 inches. Isolated 6 inch totals are possible in the mountains of Central Arizona. Rest of the Desert Southwest, Central Rockies, and Great Basin: 1 to 2 inches, isolated 4 inches. These rainfall amounts may produce life-threatening flash flooding. Dangerous debris flows and landslides are also possible in mountainous terrain. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For more information please see products issued by your local NWS forecast office and Storm Summary products issued by the Weather Prediction Center at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc1.html $$ Forecaster Cangialosi