000 WTPZ35 KNHC 170234 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE DOLORES ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052015 900 PM MDT THU JUL 16 2015 ...DOLORES WEAKENS SOME MORE... ...STILL A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.8N 113.2W ABOUT 255 MI...415 KM SW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Dolores was located near latitude 20.8 North, longitude 113.2 West. Dolores is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A turn back toward the west-northwest is expected later tonight, and that motion is should continue through Friday night. A turn toward the northwest with an increase in forward speed is forecast to occur on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Dolores could become a tropical storm by Friday night. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Dolores are affecting portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico and Baja California Sur. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart