000
WTPZ35 KNHC 131739
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DOLORES INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052015
1200 PM MDT MON JUL 13 2015

...DOLORES MOVING FARTHER AWAY FROM THE COAST OF MEXICO...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 1200 PM MDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 106.3W
ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Punta San Telmo to Cabo Corrientes

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1200 PM MDT (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dolores was
located near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 106.3 West. Dolores is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this
motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected through
Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 48
hours, and Dolores is expected to become a hurricane later today,
and a major hurricane on Wednesday.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
through early this afternoon.

RAINFALL:  The outer rain bands of Dolores are expected to produce
total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches along the southwestern
coast of Mexico from the state of Michoacan to Jalisco. Isolated
maximum amounts of 5 inches are possible.

SURF:  Swells generated by Dolores are expected to affect the
southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico and the Baja California
peninsula during the next few days, and could cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain