000
WTPZ35 KNHC 140849
TCPEP5
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152013
200 AM PDT MON OCT 14 2013
 
...OCTAVE MAINTAINING ITS STRENGTH FOR NOW...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.6N 113.9W
ABOUT 245 MI...390 KM SSW OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.9 WEST. OCTAVE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER
TODAY.  AN ADDITIONAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTHEAST ARE FORECAST ON TUESDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF OCTAVE IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE WEST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND OCTAVE
IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON TUESDAY BY THE TIME
IT NEARS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...OCTAVE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY OCTAVE ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE WEST
COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR LATER TODAY. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  
 

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI