000
WTPZ35 KNHC 140233
TCPEP5
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152013
800 PM PDT SUN OCT 13 2013
 
...OCTAVE MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...
...EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY WHILE APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 113.7W
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM NW OF SOCORRO ISLAND
ABOUT 290 MI...470 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.7 WEST. OCTAVE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H.  A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON
MONDAY.  AN ADDITIONAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ARE FORECAST BY TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND OCTAVE
IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY TUESDAY AND A REMNANT
LOW PRESSURE AREA LATER THAT DAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN