000
WTPZ35 KNHC 132045
TCPEP5
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152013
200 PM PDT SUN OCT 13 2013
 
...OCTAVE CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN WHILE IT PASSES WELL TO THE 
WEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.2N 112.7W
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM WNW OF SOCORRO ISLAND
ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.7 WEST. OCTAVE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH IS FORECAST TO OCCUR ON MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING FORECAST TO BEGIN ON
MONDAY.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART