000
WTPZ35 KNHC 081443
TCPEP5
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERICK ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052013
800 AM PDT MON JUL 08 2013
 
...ERICK WEAKENS SLIGHTLY...
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD REACH THE COAST SOON...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.2N 110.0W
ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERICK WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.0 WEST. ERICK IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H.  A NORTHWESTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY.  ERICK IS EXPECTED TO MAKE
ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA DURING THE
NEXT FEW HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND ERICK IS FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT
LOW WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR WITHIN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.
 
RAINFALL...ERICK IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ERICK ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.  THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/ZELINSKY