000
WTPZ35 KNHC 202032
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM RICK ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP202009
200 PM PDT TUE OCT 20 2009
 
...RICK CONTINUES WITH 65 MPH WINDS...RAINBANDS ALREADY AFFECTING 
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO... 

AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO WITH A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SAN BLAS TO ALTATA. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD...AND FOR THE EAST COAST FROM
BUENA VISTA SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
THE TROPICAL WATCH FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM NORTH OF BUENA VISTA TO
LA PAZ HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND WESTERN MAINLAND
MEXICO SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RICK.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RICK WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.1 WEST OR ABOUT 175
MILES...280 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO AND ABOUT 305 MILES
...495 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO.
 
RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY AND
WEDNESDAY.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF RICK IS EXPECTED TO PASS
NEAR OR TO THE SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TONIGHT
OR EARLY WEDNESDAY...AND APPROACH THE WESTERN COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ONLY A SLIGHT WEAKENING IS FORECAST PRIOR TO LANDFALL.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM A RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
 
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH RICK IS SPREADING ACROSS PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND NORTHWESTERN MEXICO.  TOTAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF
10 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AS
WELL AS THE STATES OF SINALOA AND DURANGO IN WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY RICK WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST AND THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF
MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...CAUSING POTENTIALLY
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS.
 
...SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...20.4N 110.1W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 9 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 500 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800
PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/AVILA