000
WTPZ35 KNHC 172035
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE RICK ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP202009
200 PM PDT SAT OCT 17 2009

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS RICK STILL STRENGTHENING...MAY BECOME A
CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE TONIGHT...
 
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.5 WEST OR ABOUT 290 MILES
...470 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO AND ABOUT 660 MILES...1065 KM
...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO.
 
RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF RICK IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO OVER THE WEEKEND AS
THE HURRICANE MOVES GENERALLY PARALLEL TO THE COAST.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 150 MPH...
240 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  THIS MAKES RICK AN EXTREMELY
DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. 
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND RICK COULD BECOME A
CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE TONIGHT OR SUNDAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
155 MILES...250 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 934 MB...27.58 INCHES.
 
LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY RICK MAY AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...CAUSING
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS.

OUTER RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH RICK WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO THROUGH TONIGHT.
 
...SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...14.8N 104.5W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...934 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN