000 WTPZ35 KNHC 170838 TCPEP5 BULLETIN HURRICANE RICK ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009 200 AM PDT SAT OCT 17 2009 ...RICK NOW A MAJOR HURRICANE...INTERESTS IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RICK... AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.0 WEST OR ABOUT 250 MILES ...400 KM...SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO AND ABOUT 385 MILES...620 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO. RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK THE CORE OF RICK IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE HURRICANE MOVES GENERALLY PARALLEL TO THE COAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RICK IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS...AND RICK COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE BY TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. OUTER RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH RICK WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO THROUGH TONIGHT. ...SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT INFORMATION... LOCATION...13.9N 102.0W MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 AM PDT. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BRENNAN