000
WTPZ35 KNHC 110837
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE NORBERT ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152008
200 AM PDT SAT OCT 11 2008

...NORBERT REGAINS MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS AS IT APPROACHES
SOUTHWESTERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO AGUA BLANCA...AND FOR THE
EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO NORTHWARD TO GUAYMAS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREAS SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM SOUTH OF AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD TO
CABO SAN LUCAS AND NORTHWARD AROUND THE PENINSULA TO LA PAZ.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM NORTH OF LORETO NORTHWARD TO MULEGE.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORBERT WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.5 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES...
145 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO AND ABOUT 145 MILES...235
KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LA PAZ MEXICO.
 
NORBERT IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED
BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED BY
THIS AFTERNOON. NORBERT IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA LATE THIS
MORNING...THEN MOVE OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA THIS AFTERNOON
BEFORE MAKING A SECOND LANDFALL IN NORTHWESTERN MEXICO TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  NORBERT IS A CATEGORY THREE OR MAJOR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
BEFORE LANDFALL OCCURS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA...WITH STEADY WEAKENING EXPECTED AFTER LANDFALL.
HOWEVER...NORBERT COULD STILL BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT MAKES A SECOND
LANDFALL ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.
 
NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6
INCHES OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.
THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.  IN ADDITION...NORBERT COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES
BEGINNING TONIGHT.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA NEAR AND TO THE SOUTHEAST
OF WHERE NORBERT MAKES LANDFALL.

REPEATING THE 200 AM PDT POSITION...23.5 N...112.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 500 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800
AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART