000
WTPZ35 KNHC 110553
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE NORBERT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  29A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152008
1100 PM PDT FRI OCT 10 2008
 
...NORBERT GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT APPROACHES SOUTHWESTERN 
BAJA CALIFORNIA...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO AGUA BLANCA. PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM NORTH OF LA PAZ TO LORETO.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND
MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO NORTHWARD TO GUAYMAS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM SOUTH OF AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD TO
CABO SAN LUCAS AND NORTHWARD AROUND THE PENINSULA TO LA PAZ.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM NORTH OF LORETO NORTHWARD TO MULEGE.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORBERT WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.7 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES
...280 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ABOUT
140 MILES...230 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO.
 
NORBERT IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...19
KM/HR ...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...
FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED ON SATURDAY. NORBERT IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON SATURDAY
MORNING...THEN MOVE OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA SATURDAY AFTERNOON
BEFORE MAKING A SECOND LANDFALL IN NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SATURDAY
NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  NORBERT IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE NORBERT
MAKES LANDFALL IN BAJA CALIFORNIA.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST
AFTER THE FIRST LANDFALL...BUT NORBERT COULD STILL BE A HURRICANE
AS IT MAKES A SECOND LANDFALL IN MAINLAND MEXICO.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.
 
NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6
INCHES OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.
NORBERT COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES BEGINNING ON SATURDAY.
THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA NEAR AND TO THE SOUTHEAST
OF WHERE NORBERT MAKES LANDFALL.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 PM PDT POSITION...22.9 N...112.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART