000
WTPZ35 KNHC 102035
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE NORBERT ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152008
200 PM PDT FRI OCT 10 2008
 
...NORBERT STRONGER STILL...NEW WARNINGS ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF
MAINLAND MEXICO...

AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM
TOPOLOBAMPO NORTHWARD TO GUAYMAS TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A
HURRICANE WATCH.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH
ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM TOPOLOBAMPO
NORTHWARD TO GUAYMAS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO TO AGUA BLANCA. PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM SOUTH OF AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD TO
CABO SAN LUCAS AND NORTHWARD AROUND THE PENINSULA TO LORETO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM LORETO NORTHWARD TO MULEGE.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORBERT WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.4 WEST OR ABOUT 245 MILES
...395 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
 
NORBERT IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR.  A TURN
TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST THEN NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  ON THIS TRACK...NORBERT
IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE SOUTHERN
BAJA PENINSULA SATURDAY MORNING...THEN MOVE OVER THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA SATURDAY AFTERNOON.  NORBERT WILL THEN MAKE A SECOND
LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO SATURDAY NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NORBERT IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO ALTHOUGH NORBERT IS STILL EXPECTED TO REACH THE BAJA
PENINSULA AS A HURRICANE.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...EAST
OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
140 MILES...220 KM...FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.
 
NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6
INCHES OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF
NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.
THESE RAINS COULD RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA NEAR AND TO THE SOUTHEAST
OF WHERE NORBERT MAKES LANDFALL.
 
REPEATING THE 200 PM PDT POSITION...21.4 N...113.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 500 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800
PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG/FRANKLIN