000
WTPZ35 KNHC 040300
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152008
800 PM PDT FRI OCT 03 2008

...FIFTEENTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE SEASON DEVELOPS SOUTH OF THE
PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO...

AT 800 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.4 WEST OR ABOUT
230 MILES...370 KM...SOUTH OF ACAPULCO MEXICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 2 MPH.  A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE
DEPRESSION SHOULD REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF MEXICO AND MOVE PARALLEL TO
THE COASTLINE.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON SATURDAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

SOME OF THE OUTER RAINBANDS MAY SKIRT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST
OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO PRODUCING BRIEF PERIODS OF
SQUALLY WEATHER.
 
REPEATING THE 800 PM PDT POSITION...13.6 N...99.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART