000
WTPZ35 KNHC 201749
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KIKO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152007
1100 AM PDT SAT OCT 20 2007

...KIKO MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...RAINBANDS JUST OFF THE WESTERN COAST
OF MEXICO...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC
COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWESTWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF CENTRAL MEXICO
AND THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF KIKO.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.8 WEST OR ABOUT
155 MILES...250 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO AND ABOUT
375 MILES...605 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO.
 
KIKO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...10 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THIS
MOTION SHOULD KEEP THE CENTER OF KIKO OFFSHORE AND MOVING PARALLEL
TO THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND
KIKO COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
 
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO
IN REGIONS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
 
KIKO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE WEST CENTRAL MEXICO COASTAL STATES OF
JALISCO AND COLIMA.  LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES
ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 AM PDT POSITION...18.3 N...106.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN