000
WTPZ35 KNHC 200840
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KIKO ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152007
200 AM PDT SAT OCT 20 2007

...KIKO A LITTLE STRONGER AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD JUST OFF THE
PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC
COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWESTWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF CENTRAL MEXICO
AND THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF KIKO.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.1 WEST OR ABOUT 150
MILES...240 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO AND ABOUT 435 MILES
...700 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO.
 
KIKO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
WITH THE CENTER OF KIKO REMAINING OFFSHORE AND MOVING PARALLEL TO
THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND KIKO COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.
 
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO
IN REGIONS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
 
KIKO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO.  LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
 
REPEATING THE 200 AM PDT POSITION...17.7 N...106.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 500 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800
AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB