000
WTPZ35 KNHC 200559
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KIKO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  21A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152007
1100 PM PDT FRI OCT 19 2007
 
...KIKO CONTINUES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD JUST OFF THE PACIFIC COAST OF
MEXICO...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC
COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWESTWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF CENTRAL MEXICO AND
THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF KIKO.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.0 WEST OR ABOUT 140
MILES...220 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO AND ABOUT 445 MILES
...715 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO.
 
KIKO HAS RECENTLY WOBBLED WESTWARD BUT HAS GENERALLY BEEN MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH THE CENTER OF
KIKO REMAINING JUST OFFSHORE AND MOVING PARALLEL TO THE PACIFIC
COAST OF MEXICO.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
 
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO
IN REGIONS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
 
KIKO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7
INCHES OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES
ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 PM PDT POSITION...17.6 N...106.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB