000
WTPZ35 KNHC 190842
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KIKO ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152007
200 AM PDT FRI OCT 19 2007

...KIKO EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC
COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO NORTHWESTWARD TO CABO
CORRIENTES.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KIKO.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.9 WEST OR ABOUT 165
MILES...265 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO AND ABOUT 230
MILES...370 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO.
 
KIKO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...THE CENTER OF KIKO IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN JUST OFFSHORE AND MOVE ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO THE PACIFIC COAST
OF MEXICO.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO
IN REGIONS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
 
KIKO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7
INCHES OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES
ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
 
REPEATING THE 200 AM PDT POSITION...16.7 N...104.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 500 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800
AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB