000
WTPZ35 KNHC 190600
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KIKO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  17A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152007
1100 PM PDT THU OCT 18 2007
 
...KIKO BARELY MOVING...
 
AT 11 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS MODIFIED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF
MEXICO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN
TELMO NORTHWESTWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES...AND ALL TROPICAL STORM
WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KIKO.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.8 WEST OR ABOUT
175 MILES...285 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO AND ABOUT 230
MILES...365 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO.
 
KIKO HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6
KM/HR.  A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A CONTINUED SLOW MOTION IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...THE
CENTER OF KIKO IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OFFSHORE AND MOVE ROUGHLY
PARALLEL TO THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO
IN REGIONS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
 
KIKO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7
INCHES OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES
ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 PM PDT POSITION...16.5 N...104.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB