000
WTPZ35 KNHC 182332
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KIKO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152007
500 PM PDT THU OCT 18 2007
 
...KIKO NEARLY STATIONARY...FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO MANZANILLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
MEXICO NORTH OF MANZANILLO TO LA FORTUNA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KIKO.  ADDITIONAL WARNINGS AND WATCHES MAY
BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MEXICO TONIGHT OR FRIDAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.0 WEST OR ABOUT 155
MILES...250 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO AND ABOUT 175 MILES...
285 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO.
 
KIKO HAS BEEN MOVING ERRATICALLY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS
EXPECTED TO RESUME A SLOW NORTHWARD OR NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER OF
KIKO NEAR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO ON FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA IN REGIONS OF ONSHORE
FLOW.
 
KIKO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 7
INCHES OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES
ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
 
REPEATING THE 500 PM PDT POSITION...16.8 N...104.0 W.  MOVEMENT...
NEARLY STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA