000
WTPZ35 KNHC 181431
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KIKO ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP152007
800 AM PDT THU OCT 18 2007

...TROPICAL STORM KIKO MOVING CLOSER TO THE COAST OF
MEXICO...WARNINGS AND WATCHES ISSUED...
 
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM
ZIHUATANEJO TO MANZANILLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF
MANZANILLO TO LA FORTUNA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.4 WEST OR ABOUT 190
MILES...305 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO AND ABOUT 150
MILES...240 KM...SOUTHWEST OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO.
 
KIKO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR.  A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH AND A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.  THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER OF KIKO NEAR THE
COAST OF MEXICO ON FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA IN REGIONS OF ONSHORE
FLOW.
 
REPEATING THE 800 AM PDT POSITION...16.4 N...103.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1100 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN