000 WTPZ34 KNHC 172031 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Madeline Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP142022 300 PM MDT Sat Sep 17 2022 ...TROPICAL STORM MADELINE FORMS OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC... SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.9N 106.9W ABOUT 520 MI...840 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Madeline was located near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 106.9 West. Madeline is drifting toward the north near 1 mph (2 km/h). A faster northward motion is expected by tonight, followed by a slow counter-clockwise turn toward the west through Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Slight strengthening is forecast for the next day or so, with fluctuations in intensity possible after that. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Madeline will affect portions of the southwest coast of Mexico for the next few days. High surf associated with Madeline will spread northward and begin to affect the coast of Baja California late this weekend or early next week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky