000
WTPZ34 KNHC 200238
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Dolores Advisory Number   8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP042021
1000 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021
 
...DOLORES EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER INLAND MEXICO BY SUNDAY
MORNING...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES LIKELY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN AND WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.3N 104.3W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM NNW OF GUADALAJARA MEXICO
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM NNE OF PUERTO VALLARTA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Dolores
was located near latitude 22.3 North, longitude 104.3 West. The
depression is moving toward the north near 21 mph (33 km/h) and this
motion is expected to continue through tonight.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Dolores is forecast to dissipate by Sunday morning.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface 
observations is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Depression Dolores can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4, WMO
header WTPZ44 KNHC, and on the web
at www.hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep4.shtml?key_messages.
 
WIND:  Wind gusts to near tropical storm force will likely continue
over coastal sections of west-central Mexico to the south of Puerto
Vallarta through early tonight.
 
RAINFALL:  Tropical Depression Dolores or its remnants will produce 
an additional 3 to 5 inches with isolated storm total amounts of 15 
inches across coastal sections of the Mexican states of Guerrero, 
Michoacan, Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit, and southern Sinaloa through 
Sunday.  This will likely produce life-threatening flash flooding 
and mudslides.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Dolores will affect portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico through the weekend.  These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Latto