000
WTPZ34 KNHC 181137
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Four-E Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP042021
700 AM CDT Fri Jun 18 2021
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS ALONG THE 
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.5N 102.0W
ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM S OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
ABOUT 365 MI...585 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Cabo Corrientes to Lazaro Cardenas Mexico
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four-E
was located near latitude 14.5 North, longitude 102.0 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h),
and this forward motion is expected to continue with a turn to the
northwest and north-northwest over the next 24 hours.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Strengthening is forecast over the next 36 hours, and the
depression is forecast to become a tropical storm later today.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
by late Saturday.
 
RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Four-E will produce heavy rains over
coastal sections of the Mexican states of Oaxaca, Guerrero,
Michoacan, Colima, Jalisco, and Nayarit during the next few days,
with rainfall totals of 5 to 10 inches expected with isolated
maximum amounts of 15 inches possible. As a result, life-threatening
flash flooding and mudslides may occur.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by the depression will affect portions of
the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next few days. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Berg