000
WTPZ34 KNHC 290850
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ULIKA ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192016
200 AM PDT THU SEP 29 2016

...ULIKA TURNS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 139.1W
ABOUT 1080 MI...1740 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ulika was
located near latitude 16.0 North, longitude 139.1 West.  Ulika is
moving toward the north-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h).  A turn
toward the northwest is expected later today, followed by a turn
toward the west on Friday.  On the forecast track, Ulika is
forecast to move into the Central Pacific Hurricane Center's area
of responsibility later today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Ulika is
expected to become a tropical depression tonight.  The cyclone
could then become a remnant low on Friday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM PDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg