000
WTPZ34 KNHC 060834
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SIMON ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192014
200 AM PDT MON OCT 06 2014

...SIMON CONTINUES TO WEAKEN WHILE TURNING NORTHWARD...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON TUESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 117.6W
ABOUT 280 MI...455 KM SW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SIMON WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.6 WEST. SIMON IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED BY TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND SIMON IS FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW
ON TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...SIMON IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 9 INCHES OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND THE STATE OF SONORA IN NORTHWESTERN
MEXICO. BEGINNING ON TUESDAY...RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO
PORTIONS OF THE U.S. DESERT SOUTHWEST.  THIS RAINFALL COULD CAUSE
FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY SIMON ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.  SWELLS FROM SIMON ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO
AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY.  THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. SWELLS SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE ON WEDNESDAY
THROUGHTOUT THESE AREAS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN